Monday, April 27, 2009

Gold hits 4-week highApr 27 2009 11:08

Singapore - Gold jumped to its highest in almost four weeks on Monday as fears of a global flu pandemic prompted investors to seek safer assets.

Fears of a global swine flu pandemic grew with new infections in the United States and Canada on Sunday, and millions of Mexicans hid indoors to avoid a virus that has killed 103 people.
Oil dropped more than 2% towards $50 a barrel while Asian stocks fell after the outbreak of swine flu battered shares of airlines and transport firms.

Precious metals tracked gold higher, other than platinum which is seen as an industrial metal and was hit by worries over the world economy should the flu outbreak spread and become a pandemic.

Gold hit an intraday high of $918.25 an ounce, its highest since April 2 on follow-through buying after China said last week its gold reserves had risen. The metal later slipped to $914.30, still $3.20 higher than New York's notional close.

"I am not too sure how the swine flu will play out. The problem is the potential for this to explode to pandemic proportions leaving a lot of people very wary," said Darren Heathcote of Investec Australia.

"It may well benefit gold as gold would be seen as a safe haven," he said.

Gold, which has registered four straight sessions of gains, has risen 5% over the past week and is 8% below an 11-month high above $1 000 hit in February.

"It looks like we have moved out of the 2-month downtrend and perhaps gold could head very much higher. The increase in Chinese reserves did play a part and I guess the technical traders will perhaps start coming in," said a dealer in Singapore.

China revealed on Friday it had secretly raised its gold reserves by three-quarters since 2003, confirming years of speculation it had been buying.

Dealers expected gold to face resistance around $932 - an intraday high seen in early April.
"Ultimately, we could well be targeting that mid $960s again, which is that peak in the middle of March," said Heathcote of Investec Australia.

The dollar index, a gauge of the dollar's performance against six major currencies, climbed 0.4% to 85.099. But the US currency fell to a one-month low against the yen.

The world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, the SPDR Gold Trust, said holdings remained unchanged at 1 104.45 tonnes on April 26.

The speculative long position in gold slipped to 128 367 contracts during the week to April 21 from, 129 895 during the week to April 14.

- Reuters

9.10 pm : An hour or so ago, Gold price taking a dive and at 905 level. It was at 913 level just now.

10.55 pm : DOW opened lower but managed to climb back to the surface ... up 20+ points at the moment.

11.10 pm : DOw up 30-40 points, USD up and gold down. GM up 30% ... the winner is NVAX up 120% now. WOW. I m tired. Night.



Jackie Lee said...


I do always follow your blog.

It is interesting to read. Do you really trade gold ?

CP said...

Hi Jackie ... nice to hear from u again ... hehe. How is Thailand?

No, I do not trade GOLD, of coz. I bought for RM20k, a gold-mining stock listed in HKSE. But, I m following closely the price movements. Can we really trade gold? I never check on that!!

I m going to buy O&G stock next BUT due to flu, I m going for aviation(Air China and such) soon.

Other than that, I m pulling out of KLSE as signs are there that it will reverse soon. U wrote about that too. 1030? I dont know ...

I m learning to trade "currencies" thru simulation. That might be my play in future.

Thanks for being supportive again. Oh yes, I will be back to KL in AUG for a week. Can we go for Klang Bah Kut Teh and market chat? hehe ... I will be glad to know u and learn a finer skill from u, honest!


Jackie Lee said...

My pleasure.... Do keep in touch...

By the way you back to KL for holiday or doing other things ?