Can we be satisfied?

Gold is above 1750 and the last time I told my tratles about buying into Gold was at 1550 recently. It has been up up up for USD200 now. Sliver is trading above USD34 now, up from USD27. USD/MYR is down down down from 3.15 range to 3.02 now. Crude oil at USD97, below USD100 now. I am monitoring these in daily basis.

Can we be satisfied with our profits? Can greed leads more to chase up more stocks and reaching new high?

to be continued

TEH

How to see market is topping?

How I see market is topping?

Technically, when indices are at high, reaching resistance and rallying with every little 'good news'. When sector indices are reaching new high each day ... inching higher. When the leaders in each sector reaching new high or resistance.

Fundamentally, when more projects related news being dished out. When more speculated about what sectors will benefit most from those projects. When valuations are being stretched ... PER going above 20X with more broker houses, in tandem, upgrading many target prices. Earnings projected are also in full optimism ...

Markets becoming noisier ... more punters moving in and many who have side-lined since Sept mini-crash started to move in, believing we could see 1600, yet again. When many in forums swarming with full confidence, when more pro-kaki showing off how well they have done in forums, attracting more newbies and those noise-makers asking them more tips. When forums are the ONLY place these once losers hanging-on ... plus the feel-good injection of emotions in play ...

When newspapers playing on good news ... adding the election-rally play, plus EURO is being saved. Needing to read how even IRAN news could boost OUR markets. Everything being used to pump-up the hype ... we arrrrrre in BULL market, no doubt.

When more call-warrants being issued. It doesnt matter, premiums, gearings, risk ... just punt in and get rich, baby. When more asking what call-warrants are ... and newbies started to profit from markets.

When more of people enquired about my trading classes, joining my e-learning or anything at all to join in my group. With the increase of participants going for other trading courses ... and market-talks organised by our friendly-investments is FULL house. When more broker houses promoting their services.

When your looong lost remisiers asking you to BUY BUY BUY ... and you long lost friend of sudden called you up and talking about share-market ...

When my colleagues asking me to give a talk about stock-market in college for our colleagues!!

When ... market is noisy. It is topping ... and I am busy listening to songs ...thanks

TEH

KL Day : A busy FEB ahead

Liverpool won. That makes my day today besides taken profits yesterday, and will be sitting tight as I believe KLCI will go lower this month ... well ... the GE-rally still in play.

Tuition and Cohort-5

FEB is a very busy month for me, indeed. Hence, I do not plan to be in markets except some short quick punt here and there. FEB could also be a significant month for me. There will be an increase in my tuition classes. My cohort-5 will be starting on 18th FEB(many enquiries but dont know if they are for real) ... and FEB will also seeing me starting a new venture. Indeed, FEB is a busy yet significant month.

Training and e-learning

I will be attending a 'training' on 10th - 12th FEB. Yes, it is also this very month where I hope whatever I am learning could improve in my e-learning, and to teach more effectively. Speaking of that, I do owe my e-tratles some posts ... and determine to get it done. Apologise to my e-tratles who have been patient with me. Patience is virtue and needed to be in market. Take it as a test. haha. Oh yes, I have 4 new e-tratles registered days ago .... thanks and welcome to my simple trading-course.

Stock Watch

FEB ... will also see a significant increase in my stock-watch group as I will continue to post my analysis of stocks there. This blog will be used to jot down my trades and my activities. Well, I do not even have the time to share with all my 20-odd trades done with my stock-watch group in Jan. Most of the stocks done well ... some extremely well with only few small losses. In fact, the losing counters like BJCorp and HiapTeck crawled back above my cost prices!! So, virtually ... only my AirAsia and Armada are the losing counter, brough forward to FEB.

I do not think so I could find time to write much more ... thoughts cramping my mind. I have to learn to let go of many more things happening around me ... and trying to keep pace with my commitments, my responsibilities and works. Going into March onwards, with exams nearing ... I really have to get myself organise, and my contacts in tact. It is becoming a challenge to me to just remember many contacts!!

Technical Analysis

Recently I read what Bone's written about why TA charts failing in KLSE. There are so many points that I do agree. Yes, I am NOT a pure technical person ... most of my tratles and 'old' readers should know that. I do not crae much about those indicators, too many of those lines confusing me further ... so, I will keep my chart clear and simple!! I have written about why more indicators used is foolish for analysing KLSE's charts!! Serious ... if only I am 'free', I will add in more pointers that he mentioned and well-written post. DO NOT believe those telling you that you need to have all those indicators 'on line' and 'in line'. KLSE's market simply fails MANY of times. The more 'technical' you are, the higher chances you will fail!!

Trading Course

I also agree on the basis that WHY many would pay hundreds or thousands for trading courses, softwares etc etc. It is amazing ... how could these courses get us to be expert in trading? Look ... believe me, it is not the course. It is YOU.

Tell me ... how could a person learn TA in days? Even if you have the high abilities of learning, YOU COULD NOT know how to apply it in your trading!! I am serious ... I am teaching trading myself now, charging peanuts to all(RM50 per class?) with a hope that many could learn a little of technical analysis, done MY WAY. Yes, I do not see the reasons WHY many willing to pay thousands of $$$, with a hope of learning!! I asked my tratles ... do you all think you could LEARN in days? Do you all believe that there are softwares that could give you consistent profittable trades? Will you all pay thousands of ringgit for those advertised trading courses and softwares?? THINK.

Haha .. that will be asked in my first class. Haha ... I will even tell them that they are bound to lose money in markets if they insisted to trade. I am serious ... and I am splashing cold-water to those coming to me, thinking they could learn TA? Haha ... I am laughing again ... and will repeat, markets DO NOT work that way la. It didnt know what you buy-sell. It doesnt care and it is too large for most of us. So, logically ... with 80-90% of them losing money in markets, WHAT makes you think you will be the minority? What?? The few days of trading course will make you trade better? Sure?

I do have 4 classes so far ... some dropped(phew ... thanks for dropping) as they wont be able to cope with markets, anyway. There are about 30 of them still with me in my tratles group. They are still learning under my 'daily' guidance and some of them wanting to know how I check on charts. Yeah ... they are still with me after 4-5 months as they are profitting well now, many following my trades and discussions. How to teach anyone to fish?

4.00 pm : Home early as I need a nap before another long night later ... HSI down 100 points

Stock-watch : I do still have many e-mail to reply. Could those interested ADD me in your facebook? It will be more direct, send me a message in my facebook and I could add u in as soon? I will reply those e-mail tonight or tmr ... thanks.
off to nap ...

TEH

Stock Watch

I have wanted to write how I traded MudaJaya twice as I have shared with my tratles ... but I am rather tired now. I have wanted to post about RSI tonight for my e-tratles ... but I am too tired. The full-time teaching plus tuition is taken a toll in my concentration. It has been a loooong day, but a very good one for my trades.

Today, I gladly sold my Coastal and Coastal-wa for 10%+  each. Then, my MudaJaya and her baby cg moved too ... I sold the cg too early but grabbed back her ch. I still have part of MudaJaya, which technically overbought.

Stock Watch : Yeah .... if I am too write about 20 stocks I have given to my Jan-stock watch list with most of the trades well-done ... many more will rush in to join my group!! Then, it comes the stress of performing ... more noises around with many more thinking I am a 'stock-sifu', which obviously I am not. I am ... err ... lucky to mentioned Cypark, Coastal, MudaJaya ... er r.... many more. It is Jan, a bull-rally .... anything you buy also will go up, or is it?

Anyway, those who wish to register, please e-mail me at cpteh@yahoo.com

Sorry that this is just an advertisment post as tmr is a public holiday. I m working ... I need to get this post out for many more interested to register. Thanks for the support.

wish to sleep earlier as head is banging ...

night

TEH

Last Day of January

It has been a month ... passing me in such a fast pace, except for some slower relax with family during the recent CNY. Classes start ... and I do not think so I could even rest a while for coming weeks ... taking my breath away!! Busy ... with e-mails flooding me and managing few blogs, few facebook pages ... 100+ students to teach Math and 100+ of my tratles + e-tratles following my teaching-learning of trading. I do have another batch following my stock-watch page ... and the number increases for next month. Everything pointing for a rally ... time to think in clearer manner, watching my movements ... reflecting on my actions or lack of re-actions ... minding my own businesses ... while catching up with works!! Yup ... life is just like a box of chocolate? Arrghh ... it is more like a soccer-ball ... being bounced here and there!! Haha .. kicking and bouncing ... when will I score my goals?

My goals to be in KL to teach Math and increase my income is done. My goal to establish myself as a tutor is doing well too as slowly, I have many calls from parents/students looking for me ... for tuition Math classes. My goal of learning technical-analysis is moving in a good direction, with my goal of teaching trading starting well too.

Next goalsss?

Time flexiblity and moving away from full-time job, moving away from quandrant "E"(for employee) and going into "B" and "I" ... business and investment. While my tuition and trading classes will continue, I will have to drop my full-time job ... it is a matter of time.

I will want to see how far things could go ... and leaving my full-time teaching job after 22 years in teaching line may not be easy .. the comfort-zone ... the 'holidays', the lay-back slower lifestyle ... and hours of listening to songs of my fav plus chatting in offices. I have left those about 6 years ago ... NOT to be one of my colleagues!!

Anyway, we have to move on ... as we are progressing and sort-of chasing our goals.

Yes, my life is a soccer-ball now. GOOOALLL ... Liverpool 2 Cardiff 0.

Coastal : Grabed at 2.01-2.03 written everywhere ... many followed too. Moving above 2.20 today. Cleared my Coastal-wa, tho for 10% profits.

MudaJaya : I will want to elaborate on this one ... when my 4 tratles visit me last Wed for CNY, I analysed for them ... then, the next day, it dropped to 2.45 for me(and us) to buy more ... today at 2.70 now. Just in a week la. Well, I grabbed MudaJaya-cg at 0.04 average and sold all today(sold half at 0.055 days ago) at 0.06, only to see it went to 0.07. So, I grabbed and changed to MudaJaya-ch. We shall see ...

Happy trading ... I am tooooo busy to write. Off

3 pm : Done with classes.

SEGi : At 1.93, I wrote in my 'CP Trading Group' page about her, the place in my stock-watch for in FEB that it is breaking above the range and mark-up now. Some moved in this morning ... watching it above 1.92. Interesting ...

Coastal : At 2.25 now ... hmm ... see if I will want to take profit. yan-yan ...

MudaJaya : Staying at 2.70 level, touched 2.74 this morning. Will take profit around 2.78 levels. Thanks. Muda = Young and Jaya = Success. I like that name.


TEH

Busy Monday

11.20 am : Too busy for anything ... tyre puncture this morning, done that ... rushed to office, classes till 11am and now is my short lunch hour as I will have a non-stop classes from 12pm to 4.45 pm ... hoping to take a glimpse of market before closing ...

Armada : At Rm3.85 now. Noted.

AirAsia : I have to cut her off at RM3.57 for small loss, it touched RM3.54 but rebound back to RM3.57 now. I will like to have her again.

MayBulk : At RM2.35, touched RM2.30 moments ago. Finally losing grounds. Time to exit? Well, the UMA issued scared off many punters. Today, many taking profits. That is 10% down so far.

Need to go for lunch and could only continue at night!! What a looong working day!!

Happy Trading

TEH

Mish's Global Economic Analysis

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/

Leverage

Definition of 'Leverage'

1. The use of various financial instruments or borrowed capital, such as margin, to increase the potential return of an investment.

2. The amount of debt used to finance a firm's assets. A firm with significantly more debt than equity is considered to be highly leveraged.

Leverage is most commonly used in real estate transactions through the use of mortgages to purchase a home.

Investopedia explains 'Leverage'

1. Leverage can be created through options, futures, margin and other financial instruments. For example, say you have $1,000 to invest. This amount could be invested in 10 shares of Microsoft stock, but to increase leverage, you could invest the $1,000 in five options contracts. You would then control 500 shares instead of just 10.

2. Most companies use debt to finance operations. By doing so, a company increases its leverage because it can invest in business operations without increasing its equity. For example, if a company formed with an investment of $5 million from investors, the equity in the company is $5 million - this is the money the company uses to operate. If the company uses debt financing by borrowing $20 million, the company now has $25 million to invest in business operations and more opportunity to increase value for shareholders.

Leverage helps both the investor and the firm to invest or operate. However, it comes with greater risk. If an investor uses leverage to make an investment and the investment moves against the investor, his or her loss is much greater than it would've been if the investment had not been leveraged - leverage magnifies both gains and losses. In the business world, a company can use leverage to try to generate shareholder wealth, but if it fails to do so, the interest expense and credit risk of default destroys shareholder value.

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/

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I have a badminton session today with CT and AL. Then, as we were talking, I was interested how both of them using the leveraging-concept. As they are into businesses, I find it good to learn from them how businessmen think. Yes, they are in B-quandrant where a person like me(and the majority) who are employees are in E-quadrant ... certainly THINK differently when it comes to money, particularly about LEVERAGING(gearing).

I do share with them how I do use financial facilities to leverage ... and I am taking a higher risk than majority in stock-market. RISK as it is defined could be managed and reduced if we know how. If we dont, we should learn. So, I have in me ... always thinking of how to increase my financial knowledge. Yup, I gathered some very important information from CT(thanks, buddy) on how I could leverage further in my trading.

On top of that, we all should leverage on each other expertise and work together for the mutual benefits. Yes, no one could do many things alone .... and I have my tratle's group(growing into around 50 soon) where we could share information and learn from each other.



1st gathering : Last night, somehow I pushed for a gathering ... 10 of us turned up!! Yup!! Getting to know each and every of them will take me TIME. Wanting to foster a better rapport amongst us and to see how we could help each other. It is really a 'cikgu' kinda wish ... and helping those slower ones too ... I do not wish to see anyone 'left-behind'.

Let us leverage on each other's knowledge and continue to share ... to learn.



TEH

Stock Watch : Jan 2012 list (I)

Trade 1 : Malton-wb

Posted 28th Dec : Malton-wb : Closed at 0.290. Cut if goes below 0.275. Immediate target for rebound at 0.320, next at 0.365.

Bought on 29th Dec at 0.290, sold on 4th Jan at 0.32. That is 3cents profit = 10% profits in days.


Trade 2 : DRBHicom

Posted 28th Dec : DRB-HiCom : Buy at RM2 level. In news(Proton) and trending to RM2.18 level. Checking if could break RM2.18 to move ahead back to RM2.28 level. Watch-list.

Bought at RM2.01 - RM2.05 on 4th Jan and target acheived on 25th Jan to sell at RM2.28(say we just queue it there). 23cents profits and 10% done.

Trade 3 : Handal

Posted Jan3rd(1.39 am) : Handal : A write up in THE EDGE. Entry 0.415-0.42 but need to cut if going below 0.40. First level to watch is 0.44 and then 0.48.

On Sunday mid-night, I posted this one ... went in 0.43-0.44 in the morning, and queued to sell at 0.48 done in fast pace!! The next day it went above 0.50. wow ... That is 10% in the same day-trading!! Too fast for many of those in my stock-watch.
Note : Whatever in 'maroon' colour words were POSTED in my stock-watch facebook.

Trade 4 : RSawit

Posted 3rd Jan (12.55 am) : AT 0.93 level, buying at current level with target at 0.990 and above. Likelihood is quite good in such bullish sentiments. Need to watch to cut if goes below 0.90. Time frame is SHORT. I will grab back tmr as recently I took profits(grabbed 0.88, sold 0.935)

I bought at 0.88 much earlier and wrote it everywhere. Then, I posted to my stock-watch that I am buying back at 0.93 level ... it was OK and went to 0.975 in days but I queued to clear at 0.99 as planned. Then, when it came down, I saw weaknesses ... and sold at cost price and written in my facbook 'live'. Some of my tratles still hold at 0.93 level, only to see it touched a low of 0.910. In day, it reverses ... and breakout to RM1 level. The 0.99 level should be done too. So, 6 cents in less than a month trade. Calculate the %, please.

Trade 5 : HiapTeck


Stock-watch (FEB) : Those interested to join my group in next month stocks that I am trading, please e-mail me(cpteh@yahoo.com ) and add me in your facebook(CP TEH). It is only RM30 per month and you can check on all the trades I have done here for this month.

Trade 6 : PChem

Trade 7 : YTLLand

Trade 8 : BJCorp

Trade 9 : Unisem

Trade 10 : KimLun
Trade 11 : MudaJaya

Trade 12 : YTL-e

Trade 13 : Alam

Trade 14 : UOADev

Trade 15 : KSL

Trade 16 : CyPark

There are still a few more which still in play and carried forward to FEB
Some call-warrants I punted(high risk) were also shown there. I will add in some HKSE's stocks I am trading or stalking too.


to be continued

TEH

KLCI is pointing lower?

KLCI : Topping and supported by 20MA. Technical indicators are pointing down. Time to get away?

AirAsia : RSI at 38, hanging at RM3.60. If drops lower, time to check at RM3.48 level, which if it dives to that level, I will grab more of her.

Armada : Recently, I said buy if above RM4.10 and it went above RM4.10 but failed to break-out, and going below RM4.00 and time to stay away as indicators pointing lower now. I will check her again at RM3.90 and then RM3.75

Axiata : A nice waterfall in the making ... checking for reversal.  Will check at RM4.66 and RM4.52 levels. This is noted by tratle DN.

CIMB : High selling volume noted. AT RM6.80 level, and prefer next RM6.65 level would be nice. This is noted by tratle Jess.

MHB : It went below my RM5.40 recently and staging a reversal. Will want to see if the reversal is genuine, otherwise, it may continue to go lower .... when KLCI sentiment turn darker soon ..

TEH : I still have a sell outlook at the current level. I do not see the KLCI moving higher to break 1530 level any soon ... but who knows? Plantation is still rallying and supporting the KLCI at the moment --- KLK, Sime and IOI are giants too.

Conclusion : Buying should be for short trading and selected counters only.

TEH

Ten ways to be HAPPY

10 Ways To Be Happy

1. Accept the things you can't change. If you can and want to change them, do it.

2. Let go of the people who are holding you down. If you considered them, you already know who these people are.

3. Blast your favorite upbeat song and sing at the top of your lungs, dancing as you go.

4. Go for a run. A nice, long run. Run until you feel good; at the very least, you'll be tired enough that the feelings will seem less major.

5. Call someone you love, Just hearing their voice can make your day better.

6. Smile at a stranger. It will make both of you smile.

7. Send an anonymous compliment.

8. Write down everything you don't like about yourself. Rip it up. Burn it.

9. Watch your favorite movie.

10. Realize that you are your own biggest critic. People do not see the faults in yourself that you do. So realize that they are not faults, not imperfections. They make you, you.

Source : Taken from my facebook

TEH